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The Aviation Outlook 2026

Clean jet fuel is not a technology problem. The plants will not get built until buyers commit.

By Carbon3 team1 min read

Cover of the Aviation Outlook 2026: a photograph of an aircraft wing above the clouds beside the title 'Decarbonizing Aviation with C3'.

The 2026 (H2) Sustainable Aviation Outlook by Carbon3

Clean jet fuel (SAF) is not a technology problem, it's a financial challenge. The fuel plants won't get built until buyers commit, and so far they haven't. In this report we look at what H2 2026 and beyond will bring, and how Carbon3 (Carbon3) can help accelerate progress.

"The main barrier to reaching the airline industry's goal of net zero emissions by 2050 is the slow pace of technology rollout that would enable SAF to be produced from varied sources, and not the availability of feedstock." - International Air Transport Association (IATA)

In other words: there is enough raw material. What is missing is built factory capacity for the newer fuel routes, turning waste alcohol, captured CO₂ or biomass into jet fuel at scale. None of those plants get built until market signals arise and financial incentives become available. But there are solutions ...!

A special thanks to Gbemi Oluleye PhD FHEA and Licia Driscoll for contributing!

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Originally published on LinkedIn, 21 May 2026.

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